- FCA data shows roughly 38-40% of UK-listed takeover deals were leaked to the media before announcement in April 2024–May 2025.
- In 2024, 38% of targets saw abnormal share price moves in the two days before deal announcements, above the five-year average (~32%).
- Clients are pressuring big banks to cut access to inside information, as deals can involve 250-450 “permanent insiders” (and historically 600+).
- The FCA and Takeover Panel are tightening enforcement against leaks and potential market abuse, with penalties including unlimited fines and bans.
Read More
The recent disclosure by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) that roughly 42 out of 110 (≈38-40 %) takeover announcements involving UK-listed companies were pre-empted by media leaks has escalated concerns among large corporate clients about confidentiality in M&A processes. This trend correlates with parallel findings that nearly the same proportion of takeover targets experienced abnormal share price rises in the two days preceding deal announcements in 2024—implicitly signaling potential insider trading or at least market sensitivity to leaked information.
One of the core drivers of leakage appears to be the sheer number of individuals (or “permanent insiders”) involved in any given deal. In earlier FCA studies (2019 and 2022), although the number of insiders had fallen, it still hovered at ~250-450 in large banks; in some past cases more than 600 people—even those in compliance, risk, or support functions—had full access to inside information, despite only a small subset working directly on the transaction.
Clients are responding strategically by asking banks to reduce disclosure scope and internal insider lists to “need-to-know” basis only. Boutique advisory firms are leveraging their smaller teams as a comparative advantage in confidentiality. However, empirical evidence suggests some companies may also use leaks purposely—to attract competing bidders, fend off unwanted ones, or influence the share price before formal offer announcements. “Strategic leaks” are of particular concern to regulators.
Regulatory enforcement is intensifying. In March 2025, the FCA issued Primary Market Bulletin 54 warning of increases in material leaks in live M&A transactions and reminding participants of obligations under MAR and the Takeover Code. The Takeover Panel is also “going harder on leakage.” Penalties for breach include unlimited fines, injunctions and, in certain cases, prohibition from regulated activity.
Strategic implications for investment banks include reputational risks, legal exposure, and client loss if perceived as inadequate in maintaining secrecy. Banks may need to invest in more rigid internal controls, refine insider access policies, deploy technological tools for information barriers, and possibly rebrand around confidentiality.
Open questions remain: What are the best practices to identify the source of leaks (bankers vs. issuers)? Is leak attribution sufficiently precise to enforce penalties? Will foreign bidders adapt to UK norms or be penalized for unfamiliarity? To what extent will these pressures—regulatory, client, competitive—reshape the structure of M&A advisory services in London?
Supporting Notes
- The FCA data shows 42 of 110 UK takeover announcements between April 2024 and May 2025 were leaked in the media before official announcement (~38-40 %).
- In 2024, 38 % of UK takeover targets experienced abnormal share price movements in the two days before announcement—above five-year average (~32 %)
- Large banks often have 250-450 “permanent insiders” on deals; older cases showed as many as 600 individuals with full information access, despite only a smaller team doing deal work
- Regulatory pressure: Primary Market Bulletin 54 reminds about obligations under UK Market Abuse Regulation and Takeover Code; penalties include unlimited fines and prohibitions
- Clients demanding banks limit number of advisers/employees who know about live transactions; boutique firms using lower headcount as competitive advantage
- Regulators see rise in “strategic leaks,” where issuers or their advisers leak information to manipulate bidding or deter rival offers
